Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 16.472270 19.117676 21.990201 25.333158 29.108393 33.231292 38.065964
2025-08-03 12.000036 15.624285 19.951448 25.459607 32.241538 40.273051 50.453915
2025-08-10 9.116665 13.032417 18.076548 24.963135 34.019860 45.413016 60.700526
2025-08-17 7.147975 11.082783 16.492931 24.327625 35.207292 49.580759 69.763593
2025-08-24 5.702477 9.522620 15.093608 23.594457 35.973421 53.031522 77.926153
2025-08-31 4.533527 8.127315 13.668276 22.545254 36.047656 55.377428 84.578692
2025-09-07 3.960267 7.548341 13.350173 23.034603 38.309071 60.872875 95.932547
2025-09-14 3.473123 7.018782 13.016067 23.418144 40.383220 66.174188 107.284126
2025-09-21 2.939869 6.309369 12.276008 23.031930 41.168339 69.531030 115.882532
2025-09-28 2.468074 5.625306 11.475866 22.428471 41.502124 72.151320 123.444203
2025-10-05 2.367417 5.645308 11.928439 24.022847 45.587065 80.926608 141.089706
2025-10-12 2.224320 5.552782 12.153821 25.217991 49.060999 88.898309 157.863481
2025-10-19 1.997609 5.271452 12.035260 25.871267 51.827468 96.189643 174.500502
2025-10-26 1.738988 4.876078 11.650877 26.008606 53.741560 102.284922 189.742919
2025-11-02 1.463887 4.380709 10.982991 25.504340 54.416954 106.284595 201.703755
2025-11-09 1.223337 3.911978 10.293163 24.857133 54.735091 109.639153 212.715584
2025-11-16 1.016080 3.476767 9.602947 24.110158 54.763409 112.434235 222.864525
2025-11-23 0.825138 3.033851 8.815664 23.041037 54.023548 113.728279 230.360783
2025-11-30 0.744267 2.892927 8.737592 23.539696 56.519268 121.217180 249.487997
2025-12-07 0.667958 2.746221 8.620580 23.930515 58.812297 128.446422 268.505889
2025-12-14 0.569320 2.498180 8.195818 23.536973 59.381653 132.350827 281.493568
2025-12-21 0.477459 2.244082 7.707810 22.922030 59.397938 135.141720 292.488029
2025-12-28 0.470155 2.297350 8.095822 24.546659 64.552363 148.537068 324.558050